Sunday, July 5, 2009

7/6/2009


Current Streak: 0

Well it turns out WNBA home teams actually stink.

The baseball prop seems like it is pretty close to 3hrs. Pettite has given up 1 hr every 5.44 innings at home but most of his home runs came in one game vs the Rays ( 4 Hrs in 6 innings). Romero has given up 1 hr every 8.022 innings and managed to hold the rays and phillies homerless in his last two games. At home the Yankees hit a hr every 17.96 at bats and the blue jays are hitting a hr every 30.87. Instead of trying to use any of this data I am going lean < 3 and pick Kalmar FF W/d instead.

The night games are spaced out in a way where we probably could only make one pick. So it is either Diamondbacks or Astros.

EDIT: The Phillies and 2 games at 10:10 and 10:15 were added late. The phillies are -162 and there is a chance to play a late game so they are the pick. The mariners are 50/50 and the 5 inning total of the Giants / Marlins is Under 4.5 -112. That pick also looks like it is pretty close to 50/50 so only gamble on these picks with a 0 or 1 game streak.

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